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Rating Action: China Construction Bank Assigned “AAAspc/stable”, and Its Financial Bond Rated “AAAspc”

房地产行业月报:销售承压,融资支持尤为关键

关于终止2021年工银金融租赁有限公司金融债券(第一期)(债券通)评级的公告

工程机械销量仍在筑底,龙头企业财务稳健性几何?

评级行动:评定“吉时代2024年第一期个人汽车抵押贷款资产支持证券”优先级证券的信用等级为AAAspc(sf)


Rating Action: China Construction Bank Assigned “AAAspc/stable”, and Its Financial Bond Rated “AAAspc”

BEIJING, January 19, 2021 - S&P Global (China) Ratings has assigned its AAAspc rating to China Construction Bank Corporation(“CCB”), and the outlook is stable. In addition, S&P Global (China) Ratings has assigned its AAAspc rating to CCB’s 2021 Special Financial Bond for Micro and Small Enterprise Lending.

We assess CCB’s stand-alone credit profile (“SACP”) as “aaspc”, five notches higher than the “bbb+” anchor we typically apply to a commercial bank in China. This is to reflect our view of the bank’s very strong business franchise as the second largest bank in China and its very strong funding and liquidity profile built on its massive deposit base.

The issuer credit rating (“ICR”) of “AAAspc” incorporates a two-notch uplift from our assessment of its SACP of “aaspc”, reflecting the extremely high likelihood of government support.

As China’s second largest bank, CCB has one of the most extensive domestic banking networks in China, operating over 14,000 branches within China and 33 branches overseas. As of the end of 2019, it had 11.56% and 9.27% market share of loans and deposits, respectively. CCB has a balanced and strong business franchise in corporate and retail banking with a strong edge in infrastructure finance and mortgage lending.

CCB has one of the largest deposit bases among Chinese banks and it has limited use of wholesale funding. As of the end of 2019, 79% of its liabilities were customer deposits, and its use of wholesale funding represented about 18% of its total liabilities, lower than the industry average. It also benefits from “flight to quality” when market liquidity tightens. The bank’s daily average liquidity coverage ratio was 155% in the fourth quarter of 2019, much higher than the minimum regulatory requirement of 100%.

CCB has adequate capitalization and healthy profitability. CCB has the highest regulatory capital adequacy ratios among its mega bank peers. As of the end of June 2020, its reported regulatory tier-1 capital adequacy ratio was 13.88%, 1.10 percentage points higher than the mega bank average and 2.27 percentage points higher than the industry average. Given its status as a global systematically important bank (G-SIB), we expect it to continue to strengthen its capitalization.

The risk profile of the bank’s loan portfolio is consistent with the industry average. Its asset quality has come under pressure from COVID-19. As of the end of June 2020, CCB’s NPL ratio was 1.49%, only 7 bps higher than the end of 2019. We view that the stable asset quality in the first half of 2020 was partially attributable to the lagging effect of NPL recognition, fast growth of new lending and writing off efforts, while we recognize some uncertainty remains over the rapidly increasing MSE loans, the performance of which depends on both the lending standards of the bank and the progress of the economic recovery.

We believe that CCB is extremely likely to receive support from the central government in times of need, considering its status as a state-owned mega bank and its important role in maintaining financial stability in China and providing financing to China’s infrastructure development and other important government initiatives. As of the end of 2019, 57% of CCB’s shares were controlled by Central Huijin Investment Ltd.

We have equalized the credit rating of the financial bond with the ICR of CCB. This bond is issued to grow CCB’s micro and small enterprise (“MSE”) lending business. The principal amount of this bond is RMB 20 billion, and its term is 3 years. The payment obligation of this financial bond is ranked equally with all the general liabilities of the bank that has no liens on, and prior to equity capital settlement of CCB.

  

Issuer Credit Rating Snapshot

Anchor:bbb+

    Business Position:+3

    Capital and Earnings:0

    Risk Position:0

    Funding and Liquidity:+2

Stand-alone Credit Profile:aaspc

Government Support:+2

Issuer Credit Rating:AAAspc

Outlook/CreditWatch:Stable

 

Related Research & Commentary:

Credit Rating Report: China Construction Bank Corporation, Sep 18, 2020.

Issue Rating Notice: 2020 China Construction Bank Corporation Special Financial Bond for Micro and Small Enterprise Lending Rated “AAAspc”, Jan 11, 2021.

 

Related Methodology and Research:

S&P Global (China) Ratings Financial Institutions Methodology.

General Considerations on Rating Modifiers And Relative Ranking.

Commentary: Understanding S&P Global (China) Ratings Financial Institutions Methodology.

Commentary: Understanding S&P Global (China) Ratings Approach to Support.

Commentary: Understanding S&P Global (China) Ratings General Considerations on Rating Modifiers and Relative Ranking Methodology.

 

Media Contacts

Sharon Tang, Beijing, (86)10-6569-2988; sharon.tang@spgchinaratings.cn

 

Analyst Contacts:

Longtai Chen,Beijing;longtai.chen@spgchinaratings.cn

Yifu Wang, CFA,CPA, Beijing; yifu.wang@spgchinaratings.cn

Cui Cong, Beijing; cong.cui@spgchinaratings.cn

Xuefei Zou, CPA, Beijing; eric.zou@spgchinaratings.cn

(Note: This document is prepared in both English and Chinese. The English translation is for reference only, and the Chinese version will prevail in the event of any inconsistency between the English version and the Chinese version.)



房地产行业月报:销售承压,融资支持尤为关键

我们认为,融资端政策仍是当下防范化解市场风险的关键所在。现阶段,新房销售疲弱与债务到期压力将继续对房企偿债流动性构成挑战,房企保持现金流的平衡亟需外部融资支持的强力托底。销售持续下行将挤压开发商的经营性现金流,令企业更加依赖外部融资,若再融资偏紧则会使企业流动性雪上加霜。

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关于终止2021年工银金融租赁有限公司金融债券(第一期)(债券通)评级的公告

2021年工银金融租赁有限公司金融债券(第一期)(债券通)已完成兑付,该债项不再存续,因此,标普信用评级(中国)有限公司(简称“标普信评“)终止对该债项的信用评级,对该债项的信用等级不再更新。

标普信评此前授予该债券AAAspc的信用等级;标普信评目前继续维持工银金融租赁有限公司AAAspc/稳定的主体信用等级。

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工程机械销量仍在筑底,龙头企业财务稳健性几何?

  • 标普信评认为,在未来一年里,工程机械行业仍将面临销量下行压力,国内需求复苏乏力、出口政策不稳定性的相互交织,可能继续抑制行业的复苏势头。我们预计,在这种背景下,企业的盈利能力的弱化、信用销售所带来的坏账损失及担保回购问题,将成为业内企业面临的主要风险。
  • 中国工程机械企业的杠杆水平与国际同业龙头相比显著偏高。鉴于工程机械企业所处的强周期行业特性,我们认为,相对较高的杠杆水平可能会使这些企业在行业周期低谷时面临相对脆弱的财务状况。
  • 我们的压力测试显示,尽管头部龙头企业同样面临着杠杆相对较高的问题,但徐工集团、中联重科、三一集团、柳工集团、山推股份五家龙头企业流动性在未来一年将保持充足,能承受一定的担保回购增加及盈利波动带来的风险。
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评级行动:评定“吉时代2024年第一期个人汽车抵押贷款资产支持证券”优先级证券的信用等级为AAAspc(sf)

北京,2024年4月12日—标普信评今日宣布,已评定“吉时代2024年第一期个人汽车抵押贷款资产支持证券”项下优先级资产支持证券(以下简称“优先级证券”)的信用等级为AAAspc(sf)。该交易由吉致汽车金融有限公司发起。

 

信用等级列表

优先级证券:AAAspc(sf)

 

相关方法:

标普信用评级(中国)— 结构融资评级方法论

 

相关研究:

标普信用评级(中国)个人消费贷款资产支持证券分析方法

中国个人汽车抵押贷款资产支持证券市场多维度观察2024版

 

相关模型:

标普信用评级(中国)结构融资现金流模型

 

传媒联络人:  

汤劭颖,北京;(86)10-6569-2988;sharon.tang@spgchinaratings.cn

 

分析师

施蓓蓓,北京;beibei.shi@spgchinaratings.cn

朱偲玥,北京;april.zhu@spgchinaratings.cn

李开颜,北京;kaye.li@spgchinaratings.cn



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